In my previous two tidbits I offered 8 reasons the assertion “Police Target Black Men” is incorrect. Let’s continue, this time using numbers!
9. In the same NYT article from my last tidbit, they continued citing the Harvard-trained, Black statistician, Roland Fryer’s study: “There were 1.6 million arrests in Houston in the years(2000-2015) and officers fired their weapons 507 times.”
This is an absolutely INCREDIBLE discovery by Dr Fryer! Why? For two reasons.
i.The number “507”, is the number of times police discharged their guns in 16 years!!!!! 16 years equals 5,840 days (16 x 365)*. That means police fired their guns--not killed people--but fired their guns, once every 11.51 days for 16 years (5840/507)! What does this mean?
a.firing a weapon 507 times in 16 years is not a lot of times
b.firing a weapon once every 11.51 days in the line of duty in an inner city where gang
bangers shoot people nearly daily, once again, is not very many times!
My conclusion? To “target” Blacks means police are intentionally attempting to commit homicide. If police were literally targeting Blacks, it is painfully obvious they would discharge their guns exponentially more times than 507 times during 1.6 million arrests, over 16 years…once again, if they were targeting Blacks!!!
Furthermore, the number of Blacks killed since 2014**: 2014: Black-131; 2015: Black- 258; 2016: Black-234; 2017: Black-224; 2018: Black-229; 2019: Black-249; 2020: Black-237; for a total of 1562***. When considering the factors that 1562 is a national number over seven years, which includes thousands of American cities and towns; along with the factors that the numbers of 507 gun discharges, and 1.6 million arrests, which are for just ONE American city, even the national number of 1562 becomes extremely small…‘IF’ police were targeting Blacks! I repeat, the numbers of police shootings, and Black deaths nationally out to be exponentially higher, if it is true that “Police Target Black men!”
ii.If you divide the number 507 by 1.6 million, you get .000316875. This means, in the city of Houston, which is just one city in America, and which I can only assume is like every other American inner city, .000316875 represents the number of times police literally fired their guns during 1.6 million arrests! Another visual of this number is:
-3.1 times out of every 10,000 arrests, police fire their weapons; or
-31.6 times out of every 100,000 arrests, police shoot at people; or
-316.8 times out every 1 million arrests, police discharge their guns
How is this interpreted? Liberals argue “Police are racist!”; therefore, “White people are racist!”; therefore, “America is racist!” …based on the number .000316875—which is the number of times police discharge their weapons—in Houston—during 1.6 million arrests!!!! In other words, if we just consider one American city, and assume that other cities are similar, the number one piece of evidence liberals claim to prove America is racist: “Police Target Black Men!” is based upon the fact that 99.968% of the time police arrest people-- they do NOT even fire their weapons!
Okay…let me play the devil’s advocate! If you are thinking, Houston is only one city, what about the rest of America? Well, I’m sorry to report, the numbers only get worse for the “Police Target Black Men” crowd!!!
In 2019, there were 10,085,207 arrests in America; and 249 Blacks were killed by police*** in that same year. If we divide 249 by 10,085,207, we arrive at .0000246896. Obviously, this is a very small number, even smaller than the previous .000316875 number!!! How do we interpret .0000246896?
Based upon all police arrests of Americans in 2019, and the total number of Blacks killed by police, the chance that a police officer fires his weapon at a Black man during an arrest is .0000246896!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
If you want the Whites and Hispanics included, so be it! Based upon all police arrests of Americans in 2019, the chance of a police officer firing a gun at a White man during an arrest is .0000401578****!!!!! And, the chance of a police officer firing a gun at a Hispanic man during an arrest is .0000147741!!!!!****
Now…I can hear the haters screaming bloody murder: “You must use arrests by race—not total arrests!” I’m fully aware that if you separate the total number arrests: 10,085,207 by race—White arrests, Black arrests, and Hispanic arrests, my numbers above will change. However, the Bureau of Justice did not offer the arrests by race, so I only used the total arrests.
However, using the numbers of arrests by race ‘will’ bring my numbers down, but not by so much that my point is lost! For example, let’s choose a number of 7 million Black arrests. If this were the number of Black arrests, it would reflect that Blacks are being arrested more than Whites and Hispanics, therefore giving support to the idea that Police are racists! So, let’s do the math: 249/7,000,000 =.0000355714! In other words, if 7 million were true, liberals would conclude: “Police Target Black Men!” based upon the fact that .0000355714 of the time police fire their weapons at Blacks!!! To get a better visual, let’s reverse .0000355714. In other words, liberals conclude: “Police Target Black Men!” based upon the fact that 99.9999644286 of the time, police do not fire their weapons during arrests of Black men!!!
Let’s use 4 million: 249/4,000,000=.00006225! Or, 1 million arrests; 249/1,000,000=.0000249!
Regardless of what number you choose, the numbers do not lie! These numbers offer absolute proof, because none of them dip below the incredible number of 99% figure. In other words, over 99% of the time, police do ‘NOT’ fire their weapons during arrests!!
Yet…this is not the end!!!
In 2018, there were 61.5 million contacts between police and the American public. The total numbers in 2018 killed by police are: 990; White-454; Black-229; Hispanic-165, etc. Because I don’t have the contacts by race, if we use the total killed by police in 2018: 990, and divide it by 61.5 million, we arrive at .0000160976. How is this number interpreted? This tiny number means, of all the contacts between police and the American public (speeding tickets, tail-lights out, marriage spats, sporting events, conducting traffic, traffic accidents, and including arrests, etc.) the chance of a police officer killing an American is .0000160976!!! Or, using the inverse of this number means: 99.99839024% of the time when there is a contact between a police officer and an American, police do NOT kill!!!!
To declare that “Police Target Black Men” based upon the minute percentages presented in this piece, is not just controversial, it can only be designated as: irresponsible, intentional, and willful bias, i.e.propaganda!!!
*excluding Leap years.
**This is the year the Washington Post began publishing these numbers.
***See Tidbit 1 of this series
“Practice makes permanent; but, only perfect practice makes perfect! ” -Unknown
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